Comparing Normal Distribution Thresholds

00:00 7 marks

  • Exam Style - Paper 2
  • SL & HL
  • Tier 3
  • Compare multiple thresholds or distributions
  • Effect of standard deviation

Consider a scenario where measurement data is modeled by a normal distribution with a mean of 100. In one experiment, the standard deviation is 15, while in a subsequent experiment it is 10. Answer the following:

(a) For the N(100, 15^2) distribution, calculate the probability that an observation falls between 85 and 115.

(b) For the same two distributions, determine the probability that an observation is below 90, and compare the results.

Part a

4 minutes 3 marks

Question

Given a normally distributed variable with mean 100 and standard deviation 15, calculate the probability that an observation falls between 85 and 115.



Hint Hint

Hint

Compute the z-scores for 85 and 115 using the formula \(z = \frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}\) and then use the standard normal distribution table or your GDC.

  • Answer Answer

Complete Answer

Approximately 68.3%

  • Mark Scheme Mark Scheme
  • Answer Explanation Answer Explanation

Part b

6 minutes 4 marks

Question

Now consider a second experiment where the variable follows a normal distribution with the same mean (100) but a standard deviation of 10. Calculate the probability that an observation falls below 90 for both distributions, and explain how the differences in standard deviation affect these probabilities.



Hint Hint

Hint

For each distribution, compute the z-score for 90 using \(z = \frac{90-\mu}{\sigma}\) and then compare the corresponding probabilities. Consider how a smaller standard deviation concentrates data closer to the mean.

  • Answer Answer

Complete Answer

For N(100,15^2): Approximately 25.2%; For N(100,10^2): Approximately 15.9%. The distribution with the smaller standard deviation (10) has a lower probability of an observation falling below 90 because it is less spread out around the mean.

  • Mark Scheme Mark Scheme
  • Answer Explanation Answer Explanation

Math Editor

Report Question


Please enter keywords